Recently, the FIRE movement has come in for some criticism. Here is one prominent example. While I don’t want to speak for the critics, some of the arguments boil down to a version of the following: FI or FIRE (I prefer FI, but let’s not argue over terminology) overemphasizes personal responsibility and individualism, as most financial outcomes are the result of luck and the work of others. For example, if you invest $250,000 in real estate and local property values skyrocket such that your investment is now worth $600,000, most of the value of your investment is not attributable to anything you did.
While I appreciate the perspective provided by these commentators, I respectfully disagree with the criticisms.
My Journey with FI
Before I address the criticisms, I thought it would be helpful to share a bit of my perspective on FI. My journey with personal finance mostly starts in college, when I began to become interested in some of the tactics of personal finance. Things like the Roth IRA and passive investing.
For me, the tactics were like the quartz countertops, cabinets, and ceiling beams on a home construction site: shiny objects drawing attention, but by themselves not all that impactful. As applied to personal finance, when you add in the FI framework, you transform shiny objects into a house. Having the FI framework and goals ultimately drives better choices and better luck.
Getting introduced to FI in 2017 flipped a switch for me. It gave meaning to the personal finance tactics. More important, it encouraged me to make better choices. For me, it’s not about a FI number or a retirement deadline.* And it has never been about anyone who retired at a particularly early age. Rather, to me FI is all about making better choices that give me and my family more options and better financial luck.
This is why I don’t believe “financial literacy” is an adequate substitute for FIRE. You can teach people about 401(k)s and HSAs until you’re blue in the face. Without something akin to the FI framework, financial knowledge by itself does not often materially improve choices and outcomes. Financial literacy without a framework and goals is sort of like teaching algebra in high school. There’s nothing wrong with it, but how much did algebra affect your adult life?
Having shared a bit of my own FI journey, here are my thoughts on the recent criticisms of the FIRE movement.
* Note: For some, FI is about hitting a FI number and/or retiring by a certain date. That’s great–to each their own.
The Role of Luck
Michael Jordan won six NBA Championships. Wouldn’t we all say that he was a great basketball player?
But wait a minute. Wasn’t almost all of his success attributable to luck? First, Dr. James Naismith invented the sport of basketball. Then players, promoters, and team owners spread the sport throughout the United States such that professional leagues could become a way to earn an income. Then the founders, players, coaches, owners, television executives, and fans of the National Basketball Association had to build it and sustain it through some very challenging times. Without the work and support of countless people, Michael Jordan would not have been able to make a living playing basketball, much less win six championships playing basketball.
And what about Jordan’s height, good health, parents, coaches, and teammates? Talk about lucky . . .
Most of us, when confronted with all the luck Michael Jordan had in his basketball career, would simply acknowledge that luck played a role, but that in no way diminishes all the hard work he put into his craft and the fact that he was a great basketball player.
In all situations, luck plays an important role. There is little anyone can do to avoid being subject to a significant degree of luck. All you can do is make choices based on judgment and what experience and history teach. Often, you will enjoy more good luck as you make better choices.
Luck and choices are not entirely unrelated. The better financial choices you make, the more likely it is you will have good financial outcomes and enjoy better luck along the way. For example, you can’t get lucky with an investment if you don’t make the investment!
Investment growth could** be thought of as luck. But without an individual financial choice (the decision to invest), you get absolutely none of that luck! The FIRE movement simply says “we have hundreds of years of economic data: we know diversified baskets of productive investments generally tend to grow over long periods of time, so start investing!”
FI provides a framework for capturing financial luck. Why shouldn’t there be a “movement” (if you want to call it that) of people who are intentional about making better choices that increase the odds that they and others will experience financial luck and success?
** Note: I do not believe investment growth is luck. I simply acknowledge that some might think of investment growth as luck.
Credit versus Choices
The FIRE movement is not about claiming credit for financial outcomes. It’s about encouraging good financial choices.
To my mind, arguing that the FIRE movement is lacking because most of the credit belongs to others misses the point. The point of the Financial Independence movement is not to “deserve” financial success. Rather, the point is to make choices that increase the odds of financial success and having more financial options.
If I wear a seatbelt, I’m making a choice that increases my odds of staying safe.
I (hopefully) don’t demand credit for being safe. Rather, I simply make an informed choice that makes my life incrementally better.
That is what the FIRE movement is all about: make good choices in your financial life, and, generally speaking, your financial life tends to have good outcomes. If someone wants to give you credit for the resulting outcomes, that’s fine, but that credit is not what the FIRE movement is all about.
None of this makes financial independence easy, and financial independence as an end goal will be more difficult for some than for others.
But practically everyone has financial choices to make. Thus, the FIRE movement can speak to everyone. The FIRE movement offers a framework and encouragement to make good choices. Regardless of the luck you have had up to now, it is better to be intentional about your financial choices and seek to improve your future financial choices.
Room for Improvement
Is everything perfect in the FIRE movement? Surely not. For example, extreme examples of FIRE tend to get overemphasized in the media and within the movement (in my opinion).
Overemphasizing certain stories causes a distorted view of financial independence. But podcasts, YouTube, blogs, and other forums help all sorts of FI stories to get out there. The FIRE movement is constantly developing and different FIRE voices appeal to different listeners (and hopefully to a growing number of listeners).
My hope is that the movement and the media reduce the emphasis on some of the more extreme FIRE examples (while still acknowledging their validity) and choose to promote a diverse array of FIRE perspectives. No one has all the answers, but everyone can make a contribution.
The Future of FI
In May, I published the following:
FI/FIRE will survive out of economic necessity. What else are people to do? Tie their entire economic future to one job that can be gone in an instant? The economic downturn occurring due to Coronavirus demonstrates that you need multiple sources of economic support. Part of FI (or FIRE) is that you ultimately build up so many sources of support (essentially, a well-diversified portfolio) that your job becomes an unnecessary source of support.
I stand by that. Some argue that FIRE is unrealistic. I’d argue that tying your financial future to a single job (or, more broadly, to your ability to always earn an income from your labor) is unrealistic.
The FIRE movement provides a framework for improving your financial condition through better choices. That is a movement worth staying in.
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This post is for entertainment and educational purposes only. It does not constitute accounting, financial, investment, legal, or tax advice. Please consult with your advisor(s) regarding your personal accounting, financial, investment, legal, and tax matters. Please also refer to the Disclaimer & Warning section found here.
Well said! I agree wholeheartedly with these points! I was telling a friend yesterday about how I was making all of these financial choices so I can retire early and he said, “Oh cool, so how close are you to reaching your goal?” And then I realized, I had been doing all this work and making all these financial optimizations not because it was to “reach FI”, but because it’s fun! LOL
Thanks for reading and commenting! I appreciate the feedback.
Merry Christmas and Happy New Year!
Luck certainly plays a role. But so days hard work, education, and training. It’s the same for everything. Jordan wasn’t born a great basketball player though he’d had some advantages. He worked very hard to become the GOAT.
Thanks for reading and commenting. As a die-hard fan of the 90’s Knicks, I personally know just how great MJ was. If I were hipper I’d insert a sad face emoji here.
Merry Christmas and Happy New Year!
Nice article, Sean. It’s well-written and provides a nice counter-balance to the Financial Diet post that you link to in the first paragraph.
Specifically, I LOVED this quote: “Rather, the point is to make choices that increase the odds of financial success and having more financial options”
That’s all we can do, really. Make the best choices we can, and increase the odds of success. Odds, you could say, are a synonym for luck.
You use the MJ example. Personally, I use the Bezos example (https://bestinterest.blog/meritocracy). Hard work *is* important. And circumstances are often out of our control…e.g. should we *punish* someone because they had good luck?
Personally, I think our perceived mertiocracy is a little out of control. We’d all do better to recognize the role of luck.
As one of my readers commented:
“You may have founded Amazon, but every moment of every day you’re reliant on this system that connected the millions of individual efforts needed to create every item you use and the millennia of accumulated knowledge needed for you to live the life you do. Mind blowing and humbling to think about.”
Anyway, congrats on being featured on Personal Finance Blogs, and terrific article. I’ll be coming back to read more often.
Cheers and happy holidays,
Jesse
Thanks for reading and commenting. I very much agree that meritocracy in American culture is out of control. I started reading (and hope to finish soon) Fredrik deBoer’s The Cult of Smart (https://us.macmillan.com/books/9781250224491) which addresses part of the issue.
Merry Christmas and Happy New Year!