Is the backdoor closing? If a recently released proposal from the House Ways & Means Committee is enacted, then yes it is.
My analysis and commentary below is just my initial take on the proposed new laws: it is subject to revision.
UPDATE December 18, 2021
The update as of December 18, 2021 can be read here. Turns out that as of now (December 18th) my predictive analysis offered in November appears rather spot on. But remember, things can change.
Here’s what I wrote in November: On November 19, 2021, the House of Representatives passed the proposals discussed below. To my mind, the passage of this legislation is a 26.2 mile marathon: Passage in the House is the first mile, and passage in the Senate is the next 25.2 miles. There are absolutely no guarantees as to whether the proposals ultimately become law. My view is that passage in the Senate is going to be much more difficult than passage in the House.
Backdoor Roths
The Backdoor Roth IRA has been a popular transaction for over a decade. It allows those unable to make a direct Roth IRA contribution to get an annual contribution into a Roth IRA through a two-step process. There is a 401(k) version popularly referred to as the Mega Backdoor Roth IRA, which allows taxpayers to move significant amounts into Roth accounts using after-tax 401(k) contributions.
House Ways & Means Proposal
On September 13, 2021, the House Ways and Means committee released legislative text and an explanation of proposed new rules that would change the Roth landscape.
Elimination of Backdoor Roth IRAs and Mega Backdoor Roth IRAs
Effective in 2022, after-tax amounts in IRAs could not be converted to Roth IRAs. This rule would apply to all taxpayers regardless of their level of adjusted gross income. This rule would eliminate the Backdoor Roth IRA, as amounts contributed to a nondeductible traditional IRA (the first step of a Backdoor Roth IRA) could not be converted to a Roth IRA.
The bill would also eliminate after-tax contributions to qualified plans. As a result, workplace plans such as 401(k)s could no longer offer the Mega Backdoor Roth.
Effect on 2021 Backdoor Roth IRAs
In a twist, the new rule would effectively impose a deadline on all 2021 Backdoor Roth IRA planning: December 31, 2021. If the new law is passed, both the nondeductible traditional IRA contribution step and the Roth conversion step for a Backdoor Roth IRA would need to be completed by 2021 in order to do a 2021 Backdoor Roth IRA.
Usually, the deadline to worry about from a Backdoor Roth IRA perspective is the deadline to make the nondeductible traditional IRA contribution, usually April 15th of the following year. There is no particular deadline to complete the Roth conversion step. By prohibiting Roth conversions of after-tax money in traditional IRAs beginning January 1, 2022, Congress effectively makes December 31, 2021 the deadline to execute the Roth conversion step of a 2021 Backdoor Roth IRA.
I wrote about how the legislative proposal impacts the approach to 2021 Backdoor Roth IRA planning and deadlines here.
I have previously written about late or “split-year” Backdoor Roth IRAs under current law here.
Update on Legislative Proposals (As of November 4, 2021)
On October 28th, a new tax proposal came out which did not have the Backdoor elimination proposals. However, a second new tax proposal issued on November 3rd did contain the Backdoor Roth elimination proposals. Based on the current political landscape, there is significant doubt as to whether any tax proposal is enacted during this Congress. However, there is at least some chance the Backdoor Roth proposals are enacted.
Elimination of Roth Conversions for High Income Taxpayers Beginning in 2032
The legislative proposal also eliminates Roth conversions in any year a taxpayer’s adjusted taxable income is $400K (single filers) or $450K (married filing joint) starting in the year 2032.
A couple of observations about this rule. First, this rule would have no practical effect on the FI community. Usually, those in the FI community avoid taxable Roth conversions during high income years. Taxable Roth conversions (such as the so-called Roth Conversion Ladder strategy) are usually executed during early retirement before collecting Social Security. Those years often have artificially low taxable income, so a high income cap on the ability to do a Roth conversion is a rule without consequence for the FI community.
Second, you might be wondering: why the heck are they changing the tax law 10 years in the future? Why not now? The answer lies in how Congress “scores” tax bills. Taxable Roth conversions, particularly in the near term, increase tax revenue. An immediate repeal of Roth conversions would “cost” the government money in the new few years. But by delaying implementation for 10 years, Congress is able to predict that taxpayers, facing a future with no Roth conversions, will increase Roth conversions in 2030 and 2031, increasing tax revenues in those years.
Outlook
Congress is closely divided. There is absolutely no guarantee this bill will pass both houses of Congress and be signed by the President. That said, these proposed rules are now “out there” and being “out there” is the first step towards a tax rule becoming law.
I will Tweet and blog about any future developments in this regard.
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This post is for entertainment and educational purposes only. It does not constitute accounting, financial, investment, legal, or tax advice. Please consult with your advisor(s) regarding your personal accounting, financial, investment, legal, and tax matters. Please also refer to the Disclaimer & Warning section found here.